John Serrapere publishes a
weekly newsletter which includes in-depth research,
charts & graphs and insights into current and past markets. Click the below links to view a preview of what the weekly inFocus newsletter has to offer. To view this week's entire newsletter as well as all past newsletters, you must create an account.
Highlights
Inflation Risk Dominates
November 9, 2021
This week, three alternative versions of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) are InFocus: the traditional capitalization (Cap)-weighted SPX, the equal-weighted, and the reverse-cap-weighted version.
Volatility Will Rise
September 21, 2021
For the rest of 2021 and beyond,
markets are going to be very volatile.
The Fed is going to make money worth less. How do we
hedge? When stocks are at a reasonable value, they are a hedge against high
inflation.
The FED Is Complacent or Clueless on Inflation Risk!
February 18, 2021
Arrow Insights favors global assets, moderate risk asset allocations and managed futures. Our investment rationale is based upon sustained weakness in the U.S. Dollar ($USD) attributable to yield repression policies enforced by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and excessive money supply growth due to money printing.
| InFocus
The U.S. & China,
A One-Two Punch
May 23, 2023
Introduction
Arrow
Insights (AI) conducts research for the weekly InFocus. AI reviews economic and
market factors relevant to specific financial markets. Each InFocus examines
asset classes and index performance within an asset allocation context. The
primary or secondary objectives are hedging inflation, deflation, or both. Each
InFocus reviews a portfolio strategy model or index relevant to this process.
Arrow Insights sees evidence of a slow-burning recession
that could cascade into a global financial crisis stemming from slow growth and
debt burdens that exceed 10% of China’s and 15% of the U.S. Gross Domestic
Product (GDP). The U.S. dilemma will be InFocus in the next June 6, 2023, issue.
Over the past few weeks, peak risk has been InFocus—Treasury market liquidity risk,
price risk, and default risk for stocks and low-quality bonds. Seven factors and
factor clusters are drivers of concern.
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